Welcome back degens! The 2022 Memorial Tournament is here and it's time to make some picks. The Memorial has called Muirfield Village home for almost 50 years. There's a tremendous amount of history that gamblers can refer to. We also have to be careful because this course went through a redesign after the 2020 event. There's only one year of data to sift through. Go read Steve's course breakdown for more in depth analysis.
For the first time in a while, there aren't many weather concerns. But Muirfield Village doesn't need weather for it to show its teeth. Muirfield tests every aspect of a player's game. You have to be accurate off the tee to avoid the penal rough You have to be sharp with your irons to hit the small greens. And if you miss the greens you better be able to get up and down.
I absolutely love this tournament. And with another wicked strong field we are in for a weekend of great golf.
For my full card, listen to the Golf Gambling Podcast for all my takes. With that said, let's get to it! Here are my top picks for the 2022 Memorial Tournament.
Collin Morikawa- 24/1
Collin checks a lot of boxes this week. On Jack Nicklaus courses he is a stud. Three of his five wins came on a Jack Nicklaus. He nearly got another one last year, but lost in a playoff to Patrick Cantlay. His strengths is why he's a great fit for Muirfield Village. He ranks 24th in the field in driving accuracy. And his irons are still razor sharp.
Like many times before, Morikawa is slumping with the putter. Excluding the Masters, he's lost an average of 2.88 strokes putting over his last four tournaments. But Morikawa has never lost strokes putting in more than four straight. He's overdue for a decent week His putter always seems to come alive out of nowhere and I'm betting on a spike week this week.
I was willing to bet him with anything with a 2 in front of it. When I saw 24, I snap bet it. I think it all comes together for one of the best players in the world this week at a difficult track. Pick Morikawa at the top of your 2022 Memorial Tournament betting card.
Will Zalatoris – 30/1
At some point this kid has to win, right? I always felt like it was a big ask to have his first come win at a major. The Memorial isn't a major, but it is a huge tournament to win.
He's bound to regress to his mean. Zalatoris lost strokes on approach at the Charles Schwab Challenge for the first time since July 2021. I'm betting that doesn't happen again. He is great iron player and should be able to get his approach game back in order this week.
Like Morikawa, his ugly putting stroke often costs him. The good news is that his lag putting is typically pretty good. It's those knee bucklers that make my eyes bleed. I'm banking on him putting well on fast, undulating Bentgrass greens this week. Similar to how well he putted at Augusta and Southern Hills.
This would be a great breakthrough spot for Will after being close so many times. Add Zalatoris to your 2022 Memorial Tournament betting card.